Freddy Peralta’s Milwaukee Brewers (66-57) face the Texas Rangers (72-50) on Saturday at Globe Life Field ( 4:05 PM ET) as he attempts to pick up his 10th victory of the campaign.
The Rangers are a home favorite (-127) against the Brewers (+107). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of August 19, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -127 | +107 | 8 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have been favored 82 times and won 51, or 62.2%, of those games.
- Texas has entered 69 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 43-26 in those contests.
- The Rangers have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of 122 opportunities.
- The Rangers are 72-50-0 ATS in their 122 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 29, or 50%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 19 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 123 chances this season.
- The Brewers have posted a record of 58-65-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning
- Dunning’s team is 12-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up one earned run while allowing seven hits.
- Dunning has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 26 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
- Dunning’s team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-4.
- Dunning’s team has won 10 of his 18 starts.
- In games Dunning has started this season, the teams are 7-11-0 at hitting the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 48 | 66.1 | 66 | 3.80 | 6 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 45 | 45.1 | 84 | 2.18 | 13 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 44 | 44 | 44 | 3.27 | 5 | 22 |
| Brock Burke | 38 | 48 | 38 | 3.38 | 10 | 0 |
| Josh Sborz | 37 | 46 | 62 | 4.50 | 14 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Peralta
- The Brewers are sending Peralta (9-8) out for his 24th start of the season as he tries for his 10th win. He is 9-8 with a 4.08 ERA and 157 strikeouts in 128 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
- Peralta will look to last five or more innings for his 14th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 2-4 record in Peralta’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Peralta’s team has a 13-10 record in his starts this season.
- Peralta has started 23 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 13 of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 55 | 49.2 | 44 | 2.54 | 12 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 52 | 56.1 | 63 | 1.92 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 48 | 47 | 70 | 1.53 | 0 | 29 |
| Elvis Peguero | 47 | 49 | 42 | 3.86 | 16 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 47 | 39.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 12 | 8 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have racked up two or more round-trippers in 59 games this season, and are 44-15 in those contests.
- Texas has gone 31-13 in its 44 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 99 times this season, and has a 68-31 record in those games.
- Texas is 64-19 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 28-17 over the 45 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 47 games this season and are 38-9 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 46 of the 64 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 63 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-10.
- In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-11
Rangers vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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