The Minnesota Twins (64-59) and Pittsburgh Pirates (54-68) meet on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Pirates are an underdog (+148 on the moneyline) when they visit the Twins (-179). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of August 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -179 | +148 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 49, or 59.8%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 20 games this season favored by -179 or more and is 13-7 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 64.2%.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of 123 opportunities.
- The Twins are 57-66-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 97 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (41.2%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 14 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 122 chances this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 59-63-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.83 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray and his team have a record of 10-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies while allowing two hits.
- Gray has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 24 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- When Gray starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-8.
- Gray’s team has an 11-13 record in his starts this season.
- Games Gray has started this season hit the over nine times in 24 chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 53 | 50.2 | 48 | 3.37 | 18 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 49 | 53.2 | 50 | 3.02 | 7 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 47 | 46 | 45 | 4.30 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 45 | 47.2 | 66 | 2.83 | 1 | 22 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 19 | 16.2 | 19 | 2.16 | 9 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Pirates, his 26th of the season. He is 9-8 with a 4.27 ERA and 161 strikeouts in 149 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Keller will try to last five or more innings for his 25th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Pirates are 7-9 in Keller’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Keller’s 25 starts, his team is 12-13.
- Keller’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 13 of 25 games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 47 | 49.2 | 60 | 1.99 | 0 | 25 |
| Colin Holderman | 43 | 42 | 48 | 3.21 | 19 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 36 | 37.2 | 46 | 4.06 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 30 | 29 | 44 | 3.72 | 6 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 25 | 32 | 28 | 3.94 | 3 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit two or more dingers in 61 games this season, and are 47-14 in those outings.
- Minnesota is 34-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 72 times this season, and has a 54-18 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 58-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 38 games this season, and are 25-13 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 23-9 in those matchups.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-5.
- They have a record of 38-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 34 of its 44 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-20
Twins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-179)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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