The Seattle Mariners (67-55) bring a four-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Houston Astros (70-53), at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Astros are a home favorite (-149) against the Mariners (+124). The game’s over/under is set at 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of August 19, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -149 | +124 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 49, or 55.7%, of the 88 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has a record of 31-15, a 67.4% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of 123 opportunities.
- The Astros are 61-62-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have come away with 20 wins in the 40 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Seattle has a win-loss record of 4-7 when favored by +124 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 122 opportunities.
- The Mariners have posted a record of 60-62-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.64 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez’s team is 10-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Valdez has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 23 chances this season.
- Valdez’s team has won 52.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-10).
- Valdez’s team has won 13 of his 23 starts this season.
- Games started by Valdez have a 12-11-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 55 | 56 | 81 | 2.25 | 20 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 52 | 52.2 | 51 | 3.25 | 9 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 51 | 49.2 | 58 | 1.81 | 24 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 50 | 52.1 | 56 | 2.92 | 0 | 28 |
| Rafael Montero | 49 | 51 | 57 | 5.47 | 7 | 1 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert (10-5) takes the mound first for the Mariners in his 25th start of the season. He has a 3.80 ERA in 142 2/3 innings pitched, with 143 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Gilbert heads into the game with 20 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- In two of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for five Gilbert starts this season — they won each time.
- Gilbert’s team has a 14-10 record in his 24 starts.
- Gilbert has had 24 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 12 of those outings hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 60 | 53 | 86 | 3.40 | 16 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 53 | 49 | 45 | 2.20 | 19 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 50 | 40.2 | 42 | 3.32 | 13 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 37 | 38 | 37 | 2.13 | 2 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 34 | 33.1 | 44 | 2.70 | 12 | 7 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have racked up at least two homers in 41 games this season, and are 31-10 in those contests.
- Houston has gone 19-5 in its 24 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 83 games this season, and is 64-19 in those contests.
- Houston is 59-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 32-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won 34 of the 44 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 20-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 53-23.
- Seattle has a 56-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 29 of their 41 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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