The New York Mets (56-66) will look for another big outing from a batter on a hot streak versus the St. Louis Cardinals (54-68) on Friday at 8:15 PM ET, at Busch Stadium. Pete Alonso is on a two-game homer streak.
The Mets (+126 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Cardinals (-151). The game’s total is 9.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of August 18, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -151 | +126 | 9.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- This season, the Cardinals have won 30 out of the 67 games, or 44.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- St. Louis has a record of 15-17, a 46.9% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 60.2%.
- Games involving St. Louis has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 58 of 121 chances this season.
- The Cardinals have an ATS record of 57-64-0 in 121 games with a spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 12, or 26.7%, of the 45 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -151 or longer 12 times, losing every contest.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of its 123 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 49-74-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.80 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Zack Thompson
- Thompson and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Saturday, when he threw four innings, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits to the Kansas City Royals.
- Thompson’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Thompson’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Thompson with a total this season hit the under.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 46 | 48.2 | 50 | 4.25 | 11 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 45 | 48 | 47 | 3.75 | 16 | 9 |
| Andre Pallante | 41 | 48.1 | 38 | 4.66 | 9 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | 23 | 30 | 34 | 3.60 | 3 | 2 |
| John King | 19 | 23.1 | 11 | 5.01 | 4 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi
- Lucchesi makes the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 4.43 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 22 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Saturday, May 13 against the Washington Nationals, when the lefty threw two innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Lucchesi enters the game with two outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- In one of his five total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Mets were the underdog on the moneyline for one Lucchesi start this season — they won.
- Lucchesi’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Lucchesi has started six contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 53 | 49 | 45 | 3.31 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 50 | 42.1 | 45 | 2.55 | 21 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 47 | 45 | 48 | 3.80 | 8 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 46 | 41.2 | 48 | 4.10 | 11 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 44 | 50 | 57 | 5.94 | 3 | 1 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals are 38-22 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- St. Louis has gone 30-7 in its 37 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 85 games this season, and is 53-32 in those contests.
- St. Louis is 48-13 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Cardinals are 16-22 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 24-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-5.
- In 66 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-23.
- New York has a 42-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-13
Cardinals vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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