Rangers vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 18, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (65-57) take a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Texas Rangers (72-49), at 8:05 PM ET on Friday.

The favored Rangers (-132 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Brewers (+111). The game’s total is set at 8.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 18, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -132 +111 8

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 51 (63%) of those contests.
  • Texas has a record of 40-24 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 56.9% chance to win.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of 121 opportunities.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 72-49-0 in 121 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 1.72
K/9 9.1

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (49.1%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a mark of 17-23 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 122 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 122 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 57-65-0 against the spread.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 3.70
K/9 9.6

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney

  • Heaney and his team are 14-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 1 1/3 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Sunday.
  • Heaney has made 17 starts of five or more innings in 23 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
  • He has made 23 appearances and finished seven of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Heaney’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-6.
  • In games Heaney has started, his team is 14-9.
  • Games started by Heaney have a 13-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 47 64 65 3.94 6 1
Aroldis Chapman 45 45.1 84 2.18 13 3
Will Smith 44 44 44 3.27 5 22
Brock Burke 37 47 38 2.87 10 0
Josh Sborz 36 45.2 61 3.94 14 0

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff

  • Woodruff gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the righty went 6 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Woodruff will aim to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing.
  • He has made one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Brewers have not been a moneyline underdog when Woodruff starts this season.
  • Woodruff’s team has put together a 3-1 record over his four starts.
  • Woodruff has four starts with a total this season — his team has not hit the over once.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 54 48.2 43 2.59 12 0
Joel Payamps 52 56.1 63 1.92 22 3
Devin Williams 47 46.1 70 1.36 0 28
Elvis Peguero 46 48.1 41 3.91 16 1
Andrew Chafin 46 39.1 54 4.58 12 8

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers are 44-14 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Texas has had five or more extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 31-12 in those contests.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 98 times this season, and has a 68-30 record in those games.
  • Texas is 64-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have gone 28-17 over the 45 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 38 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 63 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-18.
  • In 62 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 52-10.
  • In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-11

Rangers vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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