The Toronto Blue Jays (67-55) and Cincinnati Reds (63-59) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Great American Ball Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Blue Jays are coming off a series split with the Phillies, and the Reds a series split with the Guardians.
The Reds play as a home underdog (+121) against the Blue Jays (-146). The contest has a set total of 10.5.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of August 18, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -146 | +121 | 10.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have won 48, or 54.5%, of the 88 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Toronto has won 23 of its 42 games, or 54.8%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 122 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays are 57-65-0 against the spread in their 122 chances this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.66 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 43, or 48.9%, of the 88 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Cincinnati has won 25 of 55 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of its 122 opportunities.
- The Reds are 72-50-0 against the spread in their 122 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios and his team are 12-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed nine hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs.
- Berrios has started 24 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 21 times. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 24 chances this season.
- Berrios’ team has a record of 10-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Berrios’ team has a 14-10 record in his starts this season.
- Games Berrios has started this season hit the over seven times in 24 chances.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 55 | 54.2 | 62 | 3.29 | 27 | 4 |
| Tim Mayza | 55 | 42 | 40 | 1.07 | 19 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 54 | 50.1 | 58 | 4.11 | 13 | 3 |
| Jordan Hicks | 46 | 48.1 | 65 | 3.72 | 7 | 11 |
| Jordan Romano | 44 | 43 | 53 | 2.72 | 2 | 29 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brett Kennedy
- The Reds will send Kennedy (1-0) out to make his second start of the season.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Friday, when he tossed two scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates while giving up one hit.
- The Reds have always been the moneyline underdog when Kennedy starts this season.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Kennedy’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 53 | 57.1 | 51 | 3.30 | 17 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 52 | 45.2 | 43 | 2.96 | 12 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 52 | 52.2 | 73 | 2.39 | 1 | 33 |
| Buck Farmer | 52 | 55.1 | 51 | 4.07 | 10 | 2 |
| Sam Moll | 49 | 45.1 | 57 | 4.17 | 6 | 1 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have put up at least two homers in 38 games this season, and are 26-12 in those contests.
- Toronto is 18-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 59-32 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Toronto is 47-13 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 22-10 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 32 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 27-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 57-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 62 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Blue Jays vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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