Angels vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 17, 2023

Two of baseball’s top hitters square off when the Los Angeles Angels (60-62) and Tampa Bay Rays (73-50) meet at 9:38 PM ET on Friday, at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Shohei Ohtani has a .306 batting average (seventh in league) for the Angels, and Yandy Diaz ranks fifth at .322.

The Angels (-113 on the moneyline) and the Rays (-106) will play in a projected tight matchup. The over/under for this game is set at 9.5.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -113 -106 9.5

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have won 35, or 54.7%, of the 64 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles is 33-28 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 53.1% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of 122 games with a total.
  • The Angels are 58-64-0 against the spread in their 122 chances this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 9
ERA 5.69
K/9 9.6

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (36.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 63 of its 123 opportunities.
  • The Rays have posted a record of 65-58-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 14
ERA 4.85
K/9 8.2

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Tyler Anderson

  • When Anderson starts, his team is 13-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros.
  • Anderson has started 20 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 15 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
  • Anderson’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-4).
  • Anderson’s team has an 11-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Anderson’s 20 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 47 48.1 60 3.35 2 26
Reynaldo López 47 49.2 64 3.81 13 5
Aaron Loup 42 36.2 33 5.65 8 1
Dominic Leone 35 37.1 40 4.34 2 1
Matt Moore 34 38 40 1.66 18 0

Rays Probable Pitcher – Erasmo Ramirez

  • The Rays will look to Ramirez (2-3) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • In his most recent time out — in relief on Wednesday — the righty threw one inning against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The Rays have not been a moneyline underdog when Ramirez starts this season.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Ramírez’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 49 49 59 2.76 10 10
Jake Diekman 47 40 45 4.73 7 0
Colin Poche 47 44 38 2.25 15 1
Robert Stephenson 43 37.2 52 4.06 8 0
Pete Fairbanks 32 28.2 35 2.83 2 15

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels have put up at least two dingers in 48 games this season, and are 33-15 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and has gone 21-8 in those contests.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 77 games this season, and is 45-32 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 44-18 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Angels have drawn at least five walks in 31 games this season, and are 19-12 in those contests.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They are 40-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has won 28 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 55-27 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has won 54 of its 72 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-7

Angels vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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