The Cleveland Guardians (58-63) and Detroit Tigers (54-66) square off on Friday at 4:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Progressive Field.
The Guardians are favored at home (-149) versus the Tigers (+125). The over/under in the game is 8.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 18, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -149 | +125 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 62 games this season and won 34 (54.8%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has entered 25 games this season favored by -149 or more and is 16-9 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 121 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 63-58-0 against the spread in their 121 chances this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been victorious in 43, or 42.6%, of the 101 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 32 times in 69 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 61 of its 121 opportunities.
- The Tigers are 64-57-0 against the spread in their 121 games that had a posted line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams and his team are 4-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Williams will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 10 chances this season.
- Williams and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Williams’ team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Games Williams has started this season hit the over five times in 10 chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 54 | 54.1 | 52 | 3.15 | 0 | 32 |
| Trevor Stephan | 53 | 52.1 | 56 | 2.92 | 20 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 53 | 50.1 | 45 | 2.86 | 13 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 45 | 49 | 52 | 3.31 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 43 | 44.1 | 49 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Tarik Skubal
- The Tigers will send Skubal (2-2) to make his eighth start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.18 ERA and 36 strikeouts over 32 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Friday, the left-hander went 5 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, allowing four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Skubal will try to continue a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.6 frames per outing).
- He has had four appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Skubal’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
- Skubal’s team is 2-5 in his seven starts.
- Skubal has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those games finished over the total.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 51 | 52.2 | 46 | 2.56 | 19 | 5 |
| José Cisnero | 48 | 45 | 54 | 4.4 | 13 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 47 | 47 | 62 | 3.83 | 4 | 17 |
| Tyler Holton | 40 | 62 | 58 | 1.74 | 7 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 33 | 42.1 | 39 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have hit at least two long balls in 22 games this season, and are 17-5 in those contests.
- Cleveland is 17-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 73 games this season, and is 39-34 in those contests.
- Cleveland has a 34-10 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 16-12 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 21-10 in those matchups.
- Detroit has gone 18-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 51 of the 72 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 42-13.
- In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-11
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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