Braves vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 17, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (78-42) aim to prolong their three-game win streak when they meet the San Francisco Giants (64-57) on Friday at 7:20 PM ET, at Truist Park.

The Braves are favored at home (-249) against the Giants (+205). The over/under for this game is set at 9.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 18, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -249 +205 9

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 107 games this season and won 70 (65.4%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 14-5 this season when entering a game favored by -249 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 71.3% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 120 games with a total.
  • The Braves are 63-57-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.7
HR 19
ERA 3.07
K/9 8.9

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have won in 28, or 51.9%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Oddsmakers have given San Francisco the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +205 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 32.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of its 121 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 59-62-0 against the spread in their 121 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 4.81
K/9 9.0

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider

  • Strider and his team have a record of 14-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • Strider has started 24 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 22 times. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance.
  • He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 24 chances this season.
  • Strider’s team has won 79.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-5).
  • Strider’s team is 19-5 when he starts this season.
  • In Strider’s 24 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 15 times.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Pierce Johnson 52 49.1 71 4.74 6 13
A.J. Minter 51 48 58 4.31 12 10
Kirby Yates 45 47 60 2.87 7 2
Brad Hand 45 40.2 43 4.43 3 0
Joe Jiménez 43 43 54 2.72 10 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb makes the start for the Giants, his 23rd of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 121 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, the right-hander tossed 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Cobb enters this game with 15 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He has had six appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Giants have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Cobb’s starts this season, and they went 6-3 in those games.
  • Cobb’s team is 15-7 over his 22 starts.
  • Cobb has had 22 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those outings.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 53 53.1 72 2.36 0 33
Tyler Rogers 51 57.1 45 2.51 24 2
Taylor Rogers 45 41.1 50 2.83 7 1
Scott Alexander 35 37.1 22 4.10 5 1
Jakob Junis 28 68 81 4.10 2 1

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 49-17 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
  • Atlanta is 31-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits 83 times this season, and has a 58-25 record in those games.
  • Atlanta has a 63-15 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves are 25-12 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 26 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 46 of the 66 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • San Francisco has won 37 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 20-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-249)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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