The Minnesota Twins (63-59) and Pittsburgh Pirates (54-67) clash on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Target Field.
The Pirates are an underdog (+193 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Twins (-235). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of August 18, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -235 | +193 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 81 times and won 48, or 59.3%, of those games.
- Minnesota has a record of 5-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -235 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 122 games with a total this season.
- The Twins are 56-66-0 ATS in their 122 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 96 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (41.7%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +193 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 34.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 65 of its 121 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 59-62-0 in 121 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team have a record of 10-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander allowed four hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- Lopez’s team is 13-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Lopez has started, his team is 14-10.
- Games Lopez has started this season hit the over 12 times in 24 chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 52 | 49.2 | 46 | 3.44 | 17 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 48 | 52.2 | 49 | 3.08 | 7 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 47 | 46 | 45 | 4.30 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 44 | 46.2 | 63 | 2.89 | 1 | 22 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 18 | 16.2 | 19 | 1.62 | 9 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Andre Jackson
- Jackson (0-0) pitches first for the Pirates to make his second start this season.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- The Pirates have not been a moneyline underdog when Jackson starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Jackson’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 47 | 49.2 | 60 | 1.99 | 0 | 25 |
| Colin Holderman | 43 | 42 | 48 | 3.21 | 19 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 36 | 37.2 | 46 | 4.06 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 29 | 28.1 | 43 | 3.18 | 6 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 24 | 30.2 | 27 | 4.11 | 3 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up at least two dingers in 61 games this season, and are 47-14 in those contests.
- Minnesota has gone 33-7 in its 40 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 71 times this season, and has a 53-18 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 57-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 38 games this season, and are 25-13 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 23-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has gone 19-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 38 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 34-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 17 of their 37 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-235)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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