The Arizona Diamondbacks (61-60) play the San Diego Padres (58-63), a game after Christian Walker went deep twice in a 9-7 victory over the Rockies, at 9:40 PM ET on Thursday.
The Padres (-115 on the moneyline) play the Diamondbacks (-105) in a projected tight matchup. The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of August 17, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -115 | -105 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 49, or 53.3%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 46-41 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 48 of its 121 chances.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 58-63-0 in 121 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won in 28, or 43.1%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Arizona has been victorious 27 times in 60 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 121 opportunities.
- The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 66-55-0 in 121 games with a line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill and his team are 9-15-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Hill has made 18 starts of five or more innings in 24 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 24 chances this season.
- Hill’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
- Hill’s team has a 10-14 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Hill’s 24 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 47 | 49.2 | 51 | 3.44 | 21 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 45 | 42.2 | 65 | 0.84 | 0 | 27 |
| Nick Martínez | 44 | 86 | 78 | 3.66 | 15 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 44 | 42.2 | 44 | 5.06 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 42 | 46.1 | 54 | 5.83 | 1 | 13 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- The Diamondbacks are sending Gallen (12-5) to the mound to make his 26th start of the season. He is 12-5 with a 3.24 ERA and 165 strikeouts over 155 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
- Gallen will try to build upon a 16-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per appearance).
- He has had six appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 3-4 in Gallen’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gallen’s team has compiled a 14-11 record in his 25 starts.
- Gallen has had 25 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 12 of those games finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 53 | 50 | 43 | 4.5 | 11 | 7 |
| Scott McGough | 51 | 56.2 | 69 | 4.76 | 13 | 9 |
| Paul Sewald | 51 | 48 | 68 | 3.19 | 0 | 25 |
| Kyle Nelson | 49 | 43.2 | 53 | 3.09 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 44 | 49 | 47 | 2.02 | 3 | 3 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 29-22 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- San Diego is 23-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 47-21 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- San Diego has a 49-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 49 games this season, and are 28-21 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 27-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Arizona has won 19 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 57-29 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 71 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-17.
- They have won 20 of their 42 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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