The Boston Red Sox (63-57) and Washington Nationals (54-67) play a rubber match on Thursday at 4:05 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Red Sox are the road favorite (-185) versus the Nationals (+152). The game’s total is 9.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 17, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -185 | +152 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 33 (55%) of those contests.
- Boston has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 58 of its 120 chances.
- The Red Sox are 61-59-0 against the spread in their 120 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 110 games this year and have walked away with the win 46 times (41.8%) in those games.
- Washington has a mark of 27-29 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +152 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of its 120 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread record of 65-55-0 in 120 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale
- Sale’s team is 8-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on one hit in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Sale has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Sale’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2).
- Sale’s team has won nine of his 12 starts.
- Games started by Sale have a 7-4-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 43 | 40.1 | 35 | 1.34 | 21 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 42 | 40.1 | 48 | 2.9 | 0 | 28 |
| Josh Winckowski | 42 | 64 | 57 | 2.81 | 16 | 2 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 30 | 39.2 | 45 | 2.72 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 26 | 27.1 | 31 | 2.96 | 10 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, his 25th of the season. He is 7-11 with a 4.92 ERA and 91 strikeouts through 137 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed five innings, allowing no earned runs while giving up one hit.
- Corbin will aim to go five or more innings for his 24th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals are 10-12 in Corbin’s 22 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Corbin’s 24 starts, his team is 11-13.
- Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total 12 times in 24 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 49 | 52 | 51 | 2.6 | 8 | 18 |
| Hunter Harvey | 40 | 41.1 | 46 | 3.05 | 11 | 9 |
| Jordan Weems | 32 | 38.1 | 42 | 2.82 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 25 | 27.1 | 24 | 6.26 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 20 | 18.1 | 11 | 3.44 | 4 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 26-11 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 35 games this season, and has gone 26-9 in those outings.
- The team is 51-33 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Boston is 51-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox are 14-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 30 games this season and are 20-10 in those matchups.
- In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-4.
- In 81 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 44-37.
- Washington has a 39-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-10
Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+152)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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