Mariners vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 17, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (39-83) will look for Maikel Garcia to prolong an 18-game hitting streak against the Seattle Mariners (65-55), on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET, at Kauffman Stadium.

The Mariners are away and big favorites (-224) against the Royals (+183). The over/under for this game is set at 9.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of August 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -224 +183 9

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 46, or 56.8%, of those games.
  • Seattle is 8-2 this season when entering a game favored by -224 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.1% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 120 chances this season.
  • The Mariners are 58-62-0 against the spread in their 120 chances this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 2.61
K/9 8.4

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 35, or 32.4%, of the 108 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious eight times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +183 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 35.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of its 122 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread record of 54-68-0 in 122 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 5.48
K/9 8.3

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby’s team is 11-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw nine scoreless innings against the Baltimore Orioles while allowing three hits.
  • Kirby has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
  • Kirby’s team has been victorious in 61.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-7.
  • Kirby’s team has won 13 of his 23 starts.
  • Games Kirby has started this season hit the over 10 times in 23 chances.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 59 52 85 3.46 16 3
Justin Topa 52 47.1 44 2.28 18 2
Gabe Speier 50 40.2 42 3.32 13 0
Tayler Saucedo 37 38 37 2.13 2 1
Andres Munoz 33 32.1 44 2.78 12 6

Royals Probable Pitcher – Angel Zerpa

  • Zerpa makes his first start of the season for the Royals.
  • The 23-year-old left-hander has four appearances out of the bullpen this season.
  • Zerpa’s team was the underdog on the moneyline just one time in a game he pitched a season ago, and won.
  • He made two appearances last year and his team finished 1-1 in those games.
  • Both two games he pitched went under the set run total last season.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 45 57.2 70 4.37 12 1
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Tucker Davidson 23 36.2 35 6.63 0 2
Dylan Coleman 20 17.1 20 8.31 4 0
Cole Ragans 16 47 51 4.21 3 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have a 32-10 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Seattle is 19-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 74 games this season, and is 51-23 in those contests.
  • Seattle is 55-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 40 games this season, and are 28-12 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 15 of the 32 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Kansas City has won 14 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 30-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Kansas City has a 27-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 4-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mariners vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-224)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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