The Detroit Tigers (54-66) and Cleveland Guardians (58-63) clash on Thursday at 7:15 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Progressive Field.
The Tigers are a favorite (-137) against the Guardians (+116). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of August 17, 2023 at 5:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Tigers vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -137 | +116 | 8.5 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 12 (60%) of those contests.
- This season Detroit has won four of its 10 games, or 40%, when favored by at least -137 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 57.8% chance to win.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of its 121 games with a total this season.
- The Tigers have an ATS record of 64-57-0 in 121 games with a spread this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with 24 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 9-21 when favored by +116 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 51 of 121 chances this season.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 63-58-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Tarik Skubal
- When Skubal starts, his team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Skubal will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has made seven appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- Skubal’s team is 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Skubal’s team has won two of his seven starts.
- In games Skubal has started this season, the teams are 2-5-0 at hitting the over.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 51 | 52.2 | 46 | 2.56 | 19 | 5 |
| José Cisnero | 48 | 45 | 54 | 4.40 | 13 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 47 | 47 | 62 | 3.83 | 4 | 17 |
| Tyler Holton | 40 | 62 | 58 | 1.74 | 7 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 33 | 42.1 | 39 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Xzavion Curry
- The Guardians will send Curry (3-1) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.39 ERA and 46 strikeouts through 69 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Friday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander went five innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Curry is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 2.3 frames per start.
- In 15 of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for two Curry starts this season — they lost both.
- Curry’s team has won one of his five starts.
- Curry’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of five contests.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 54 | 54.1 | 52 | 3.15 | 0 | 32 |
| Trevor Stephan | 53 | 52.1 | 56 | 2.92 | 20 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 53 | 50.1 | 45 | 2.86 | 13 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 45 | 49 | 52 | 3.31 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 43 | 44.1 | 49 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
Tigers Hitting Trends
- The Tigers are 21-10 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Detroit is 18-4 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 72 times this season, and has a 51-21 record in those games.
- Detroit is 42-13 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Tigers have gone 17-11 over the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 17-5 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has won 17 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 73 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-34.
- Cleveland has won 34 of its 44 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 16 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+116)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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