Giants vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 16, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (64-56) and Tampa Bay Rays (72-50) meet on Wednesday at 3:45 PM ET at Oracle Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The Rays are an underdog away (+100) at the Giants (-119). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 16, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -119 +100 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won 35 out of the 65 games, or 53.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Francisco has entered 58 games this season favored by -119 or more and is 31-27 in those contests.
  • The Giants have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of 120 games with a total.
  • In 120 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 59-61-0 ATS.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have been victorious in seven, or 33.3%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win three times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over in 63 of its 122 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays have posted a record of 64-58-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 11
ERA 5.22
K/9 8.4

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Ryan Walker

  • Walker’s team is 7-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw two scoreless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays while allowing two hits.
  • In nine starts this season, Walker has yet to get through five or more innings.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to five.
  • Walker’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Walker’s team has won seven of his nine starts this season.
  • Games started by Walker have a 4-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 53 53.1 72 2.36 0 33
Tyler Rogers 51 57.1 45 2.51 24 2
Taylor Rogers 45 41.1 50 2.83 7 1
Scott Alexander 34 36.1 22 4.21 5 1
Jakob Junis 28 68 81 4.1 2 1

Rays Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale

  • Civale (5-3 with a 2.61 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 86 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rays, his 16th of the season.
  • His last time out was on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Civale has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this year heading into this matchup.
  • In four of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
  • The Rays are 1-3 in Civale’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Civale’s team has an 8-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Civale has started 15 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 48 48 58 2.81 10 10
Jake Diekman 47 40 45 4.73 7 0
Kevin Kelly 46 54.1 45 3.48 9 2
Colin Poche 46 43.1 38 2.28 14 1
Robert Stephenson 43 37.2 52 4.06 8 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have a 26-17 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has had five or more extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 15-7 in those outings.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 65 games this season, and is 46-19 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 37-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants are 20-13 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They have won 39 of the 53 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 28-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 81 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-27.
  • Tampa Bay has a 53-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 22 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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