The San Diego Padres (57-63) host the Baltimore Orioles (74-46) at 8:40 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Padres are a home favorite (-190) against the Orioles (+157). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of August 16, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -190 | +157 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 48 (52.7%) of those contests.
- This season San Diego has won 13 of its 25 games, or 52%, when favored by at least -190 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 65.5%.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 48 of its 120 chances.
- In 120 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 57-63-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 38, or 55.9%, of the 68 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or longer on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 38.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 60 of its 120 opportunities.
- In 120 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 75-45-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell and his team are 12-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed two hits in six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Snell will look to finish five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
- He has finished eight appearances without allowing an earned run in 24 chances this season.
- Snell’s team has been victorious in 57.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-8.
- Snell’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts this season.
- In Snell’s 24 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 47 | 49.2 | 51 | 3.44 | 21 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 44 | 41.2 | 63 | 0.86 | 0 | 26 |
| Luís Garcia | 44 | 42.2 | 44 | 5.06 | 9 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 43 | 85 | 77 | 3.71 | 14 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 42 | 46.1 | 54 | 5.83 | 1 | 13 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- The Orioles will send Kremer (11-4) to the mound for his 25th start of the season. He is 11-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 120 strikeouts in 132 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the right-hander tossed seven innings against the Houston Astros, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Kremer will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
- In two of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Orioles have a 12-3 record in Kremer’s 15 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Kremer’s team has an 18-6 record in his starts this season.
- Kremer has had 24 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 14 of those games finished over the total.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 53 | 59.1 | 57 | 3.64 | 6 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 52 | 56.2 | 52 | 1.75 | 27 | 4 |
| Felix Bautista | 50 | 57.1 | 108 | 1.57 | 0 | 32 |
| Cionel Pérez | 44 | 40.2 | 33 | 3.98 | 9 | 1 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 37 | 60.2 | 64 | 7.86 | 4 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 29-22 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- San Diego has gone 23-8 in its 31 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 46-21 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 48-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Padres are 28-21 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 44 games this season and are 32-12 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has gone 29-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 52-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Baltimore has a 54-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-7
Padres vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-190)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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