The Cleveland Guardians (58-62) will try to sweep the Cincinnati Reds (62-59) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, at 6:40 PM ET.
The Reds are the home favorite (-175) against the Guardians (+146). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 16, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -175 | +146 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 19 (57.6%) of those contests.
- This season Cincinnati has won two of its four games when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
- The Reds have a 63.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of its 121 games with a total this season.
- The Reds are 71-50-0 against the spread in their 121 chances this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 1-6 when favored by +146 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 40.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 120 opportunities.
- In 120 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 63-57-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 3.17 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott
- Abbott’s team is 9-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Abbott has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Abbott’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- In games Abbott has started, his team is 10-3.
- Games started by Abbott have a 4-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 53 | 57.1 | 51 | 3.30 | 17 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 52 | 45.2 | 43 | 2.96 | 12 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 52 | 52.2 | 73 | 2.39 | 1 | 33 |
| Buck Farmer | 52 | 55.1 | 51 | 4.07 | 10 | 2 |
| Sam Moll | 48 | 44.1 | 55 | 4.26 | 6 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Noah Syndergaard
- Syndergaard (2-5 with a 6.35 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 72 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 16th of the season.
- His most recent appearance was on Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
- Syndergaard will look to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 innings per appearance).
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians are 1-4 in Syndergaard’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Syndergaard’s team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
- Syndergaard’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 15 games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 54 | 54.1 | 52 | 3.15 | 0 | 32 |
| Trevor Stephan | 53 | 52.1 | 56 | 2.92 | 20 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 53 | 50.1 | 45 | 2.86 | 13 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 44 | 47.2 | 52 | 3.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 43 | 44.1 | 49 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have racked up at least two round-trippers in 41 games this season, and are 31-10 in those outings.
- Cincinnati is 27-8 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 80 games this season, and is 56-24 in those contests.
- Cincinnati has a 61-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Reds have drawn at least five walks in 38 games this season, and are 18-20 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 17-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has won 17 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 72 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-33.
- In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 34-10.
- In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-12
Reds vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-175)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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