The New York Mets (54-66) will look for continued production from a hitter on a roll versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-66) on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. Jonathan Arauz is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Mets are a home favorite (-122) against the Pirates (+103). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of August 16, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -122 | +103 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 42, or 55.3%, of those games.
- This season New York has won 33 of its 64 games, or 51.6%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 121 chances this season.
- In 121 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 47-74-0 ATS.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 95 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 37 times in 86 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 64 of its 120 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 59-61-0 against the spread in their 120 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill’s team is 7-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Friday.
- In 17 starts, Megill has pitched through or past the fifth inning 10 times. He has a season average of 4.8 frames per outing.
- He has made 17 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Megill’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Megill’s team has won seven of his 17 starts.
- Games Megill has started this season hit the over six times in 17 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 52 | 48 | 44 | 3.38 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 49 | 41.1 | 45 | 2.61 | 20 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 45 | 43 | 47 | 3.98 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 45 | 40.2 | 48 | 4.20 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 43 | 49 | 57 | 5.88 | 3 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (6-12) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 25th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.42 ERA in 136 1/3 innings pitched, with 121 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Friday, the righty went five innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing six earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Oviedo is aiming for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 24 appearances this season.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 5-13 in those games.
- Oviedo’s team has won nine of his 24 starts.
- Oviedo has started 24 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 10 of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 47 | 49.2 | 60 | 1.99 | 0 | 25 |
| Colin Holderman | 43 | 42 | 48 | 3.21 | 19 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 35 | 36.2 | 45 | 3.93 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 29 | 28.1 | 43 | 3.18 | 6 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 23 | 29.2 | 25 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a 22-18 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- New York has gone 13-5 in its 18 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 65 times this season, and has a 42-23 record in those games.
- New York is 41-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have gone 15-13 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 23-9 in those matchups.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-5.
- They have a record of 38-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 34-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-19 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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