The Boston Red Sox (63-56) visit the Washington Nationals (53-67) at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Nationals play as a home underdog (+133) versus the Red Sox (-160). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of August 16, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -160 | +133 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 33, or 55.9%, of those games.
- Boston has a record of 10-8, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 119 games with a total this season.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 61-58-0 in 119 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 45, or 41.3%, of the 109 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a mark of 34-42 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +133 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 119 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 64-55-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- Paxton and his team have a record of 7-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings without allowing a run on six hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Paxton will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 15 chances this season.
- Paxton’s team has a record of 4-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Paxton has started, his team is 8-8.
- In Paxton’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 43 | 40.1 | 35 | 1.34 | 21 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 42 | 64 | 57 | 2.81 | 16 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 42 | 40.1 | 48 | 2.90 | 0 | 28 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 30 | 39.2 | 45 | 2.72 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 25 | 26.1 | 31 | 3.08 | 10 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore (6-9 with a 4.62 ERA and 134 strikeouts in 117 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his 24th of the season.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, Aug. 9, the left-hander tossed five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Gore is trying for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
- In four of his 23 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 21 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 8-13 in those matchups.
- In Gore’s 23 starts, his team is 8-15.
- Gore has started 23 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in eight of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 48 | 51 | 51 | 2.65 | 8 | 18 |
| Hunter Harvey | 40 | 41.1 | 46 | 3.05 | 11 | 9 |
| Jordan Weems | 31 | 37.1 | 42 | 2.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 25 | 27.1 | 24 | 6.26 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 19 | 17.2 | 9 | 3.57 | 4 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 26-11 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Boston has gone 26-9 in its 35 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 51-33 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Boston is 51-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox are 14-10 in the 24 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won 14 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 80 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-37.
- Washington has won 38 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-10
Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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