Blue Jays vs. Phillies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 16, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-54) aim to sweep a two-game series versus the Philadelphia Phillies (65-55), at 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Blue Jays are favored at home (-141) against the Phillies (+118). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of August 16, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Phillies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -141 +118 7.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 48 (55.2%) of those contests.
  • This season Toronto has won 24 of its 45 games, or 53.3%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 121 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays are 57-64-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 7
ERA 2.35
K/9 8.0

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (46.2%) in those games.
  • Philadelphia has a mark of 5-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 50 of its 120 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies are 53-67-0 against the spread in their 120 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 20
ERA 3.64
K/9 8.4

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Blue Jays or Phillies, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

  • When Gausman starts, his team is 7-16-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, Aug. 9, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians while allowing four hits.
  • In 23 starts this season, Gausman has lasted five or more innings 19 times, with an average of 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 23 chances this season.
  • Gausman’s team has won 54.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-10).
  • Gausman’s team has won 12 of his 23 starts.
  • Games Gausman has started this season hit the over nine times in 23 chances.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yimi Garcia 54 50.1 58 4.11 13 3
Erik Swanson 54 54.1 61 3.31 27 4
Tim Mayza 54 41.2 40 1.08 19 1
Jordan Hicks 46 48.1 65 3.72 7 11
Jordan Romano 44 43 53 2.72 2 29

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

  • Nola (9-8 with a 4.49 ERA and 153 strikeouts in 148 1/3 innings pitched) goes for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Phillies, his 25th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the right-hander went five innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • Nola will try to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 24 appearances this season.
  • The Phillies have a 2-5 record in Nola’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Nola’s 24 starts, his team is 12-12.
  • Nola has started 24 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 13 of them.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 53 51 69 3.18 4 19
Gregory Soto 50 44.2 44 4.84 16 2
Seranthony Domínguez 41 34 35 4.24 12 2
Jeff Hoffman 33 34.2 47 2.86 4 1
Matt Strahm 31 70.2 89 3.44 4 1

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 26-12 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Toronto has gone 18-5 in its 23 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits in 91 games this season, and is 59-32 in those contests.
  • Toronto is 47-13 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 22-10 over the 32 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 29 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Philadelphia has won 24 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 50 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-9.
  • They have won 28 of their 40 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy