The Houston Astros (69-52) and Miami Marlins (63-58) play on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET at LoanDepot park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
Oddsmakers project the Astros as a tight favorite (-113 to win on the moneyline) against the Marlins (-107). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 16, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -113 | -107 | 8 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 48, or 55.8%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 47-34, a 58% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 53.1% chance to win.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 59 of 121 chances this season.
- The Astros are 60-61-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.93 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 28 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Miami has a mark of 27-34 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 121 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 55-66-0 in 121 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 7-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Verlander will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
- He has made 18 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Verlander’s team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-6).
- Verlander’s team is 9-9 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Verlander have a 6-11-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 55 | 56 | 81 | 2.25 | 20 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 51 | 49.2 | 58 | 1.81 | 24 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 50 | 52.1 | 56 | 2.92 | 0 | 28 |
| Kendall Graveman | 50 | 50.2 | 49 | 3.37 | 8 | 8 |
| Rafael Montero | 48 | 50 | 56 | 5.58 | 7 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo makes the start for the Marlins, his 25th of the season. He is 8-7 with a 3.91 ERA and 157 strikeouts in 133 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Friday against the New York Yankees, the left-hander went 3 1/3 innings, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Luzardo is looking to secure his 19th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Marlins have a 7-5 record in Luzardo’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Luzardo’s team is 15-9 over his 24 starts.
- Luzardo has started 24 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 50 | 56 | 81 | 2.73 | 23 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 46 | 50 | 54 | 2.52 | 7 | 18 |
| Jorge López | 43 | 43 | 32 | 5.02 | 7 | 3 |
| Steven Okert | 43 | 45 | 58 | 3.00 | 10 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 42 | 40.2 | 53 | 2.88 | 9 | 2 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up at least two long balls in 40 games this season, and are 30-10 in those contests.
- Houston has gone 18-5 in its 23 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 82 games this season, and is 63-19 in those contests.
- Houston is 58-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 31-8 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 16-21 in those matchups.
- Miami has won 20 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 51 of the 91 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-13.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-12
Astros vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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