The Miami Marlins (63-57) ride a three-game winning streak into a matchup versus the Houston Astros (68-52), at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Marlins play as a home underdog (+108) against the Astros (-128). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of August 15, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -128 | +108 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 47, or 55.3%, of the 85 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has entered 66 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 41-25 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of 120 opportunities.
- The Astros are 60-60-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 28, or 45.9%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win 17 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 54 of its 120 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 54-66-0 in 120 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier and his team are 14-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- In 22 starts this season, Javier has lasted five or more innings 18 times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
- When Javier starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-6.
- In games Javier has started, his team is 15-7.
- In Javier’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 54 | 55 | 80 | 2.29 | 19 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 51 | 49.2 | 58 | 1.81 | 24 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 50 | 50.2 | 49 | 3.37 | 8 | 8 |
| Ryan Pressly | 49 | 51.1 | 54 | 2.98 | 0 | 27 |
| Rafael Montero | 47 | 49.2 | 55 | 5.62 | 7 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto
- Cueto (0-3) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.33 ERA in 27 2/3 innings pitched, with 23 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Cueto will try to build on a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.5 frames per appearance).
- In one of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Marlins are 1-2 in Cueto’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Cueto’s team has a 1-4 record in his starts this season.
- Cueto’s starts went over the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 50 | 56 | 81 | 2.73 | 23 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 46 | 50 | 54 | 2.52 | 7 | 18 |
| Jorge López | 43 | 43 | 32 | 5.02 | 7 | 3 |
| Andrew Nardi | 42 | 40.2 | 53 | 2.88 | 9 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 42 | 43 | 57 | 3.14 | 10 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 29-10 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Houston is 18-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 81 times this season, and has a 62-19 record in those games.
- Houston has a 57-9 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have gone 31-8 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 16-21 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 20-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 51-39 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Miami has a 43-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-12
Astros vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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