The Atlanta Braves (76-42) will look to Sean Murphy, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the New York Yankees (60-59) at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday, at Truist Park.
The favored Braves (-218 on the moneyline) play at home against the Yankees (+181). The total for this game is set at 10.5.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 15, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -218 | +181 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 105 games this season and won 68 (64.8%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 22-9 this season when entering a game favored by -218 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 118 games with a total.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 61-57-0 in 118 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 8.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 18, or 40.9%, of the 44 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has played as an underdog of +181 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 35.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees are 59-60-0 against the spread in their 119 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.93 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder and his team have a record of 12-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw five innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up five earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Elder has started 23 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 20 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 23 chances this season.
- When Elder starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-6.
- Elder’s team is 15-8 when he starts this season.
- Games Elder has started this season hit the over 10 times in 23 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 51 | 48.1 | 70 | 4.84 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 50 | 47 | 58 | 4.40 | 12 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 45 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 43 | 45 | 58 | 3.00 | 6 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 43 | 43 | 54 | 2.72 | 10 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- The Yankees will send Severino (2-7) to the mound to make his 14th start of the season. He is 2-7 with an 8.06 ERA and 56 strikeouts over 63 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he tossed two innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Severino has put up six starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 14 appearances this season.
- The Yankees are 2-7 in Severino’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Severino’s team is 5-9 over his 13 starts.
- Severino has started 14 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in eight of them.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 49 | 44.1 | 39 | 3.25 | 14 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 46 | 45 | 55 | 2.40 | 5 | 16 |
| Keynan Middleton | 43 | 43 | 54 | 3.56 | 5 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 39 | 51 | 54 | 4.94 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 37 | 61.1 | 74 | 3.08 | 8 | 6 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 48-17 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 31-3 in those outings.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 83 times this season, and has a 58-25 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 62-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 24-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 48-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has gone 13-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 48-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won 45 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 36 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-15
Braves vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-218)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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