The New York Mets (54-65) and Pittsburgh Pirates (53-66) meet on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Pirates (+125 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Mets (-149). The game’s total is 8.5.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 15, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -149 | +125 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 75 times and won 42, or 56%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 18-24 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 120 chances this season.
- The Mets are 47-73-0 against the spread in their 120 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.83 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 94 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (41.5%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 26 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 63 of its 119 opportunities.
- In 119 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 58-61-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- When Peterson starts, his team is 5-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Peterson has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 3.6 innings per outing.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Peterson’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-4.
- Peterson’s team has won four of his 13 starts this season.
- In games Peterson has started this season, the teams are 7-5-1 at hitting the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 52 | 48 | 44 | 3.38 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 48 | 40.1 | 45 | 2.68 | 20 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 45 | 43 | 47 | 3.98 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 39.1 | 45 | 4.35 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 43 | 49 | 57 | 5.88 | 3 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter
- Falter makes the start for the Pirates, his 10th of the season. He is 0-7 with a 5.21 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Thursday against the Atlanta Braves, when the lefty went four innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Falter enters the matchup with four outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Pirates have a 1-5 record in Falter’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Falter’s team has a 2-7 record in his nine starts.
- Falter has had nine starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those outings hit the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 46 | 48.2 | 59 | 2.03 | 0 | 24 |
| Colin Holderman | 42 | 41 | 46 | 3.29 | 18 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 35 | 36.2 | 45 | 3.93 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 28 | 28 | 42 | 3.21 | 5 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have put up two or more home runs in 39 games this season, and are 22-17 in those contests.
- New York is 13-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 65 games this season, and is 42-23 in those contests.
- New York is 41-18 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 28 games this season, and are 15-13 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 32 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-5.
- They have a record of 37-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 33 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-19 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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