The Washington Nationals (53-66) aim to prolong their three-game winning streak when they play the Boston Red Sox (62-56) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, at Nationals Park.
The Nationals are an underdog (+143 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Red Sox (-170). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of August 15, 2023 at 7:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -170 | +143 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won 32 out of the 58 games, or 55.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Boston is 8-7 this season when entering a game favored by -170 or more on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have a 63% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 58 of its 118 chances.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 61-57-0 in 118 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 45, or 41.7%, of the 108 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 27-33 when favored by +143 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 41.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 55 of its 118 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 63-55-0 in 118 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta’s team is 5-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- In 10 starts, Pivetta has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 3.5 frames per outing.
- In 28 appearances this season, he has finished 12 without allowing an earned run.
- Pivetta’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Pivetta’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- In games Pivetta has started this season, the teams are 5-5-0 at hitting the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 42 | 39.1 | 34 | 1.37 | 20 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 41 | 39.1 | 47 | 2.97 | 0 | 27 |
| Josh Winckowski | 41 | 63 | 57 | 2.86 | 15 | 2 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 29 | 39 | 45 | 2.77 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 24 | 25.1 | 29 | 3.20 | 10 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (7-9) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his 24th start of the season. He has a 3.69 ERA in 126 2/3 innings pitched, with 110 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, Aug. 8 against the Philadelphia Phillies, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Gray heads into this matchup with 20 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 22 of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 9-13 in those matchups.
- Gray’s team is 10-13 in his 23 starts.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 11 of 23 contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 48 | 51 | 51 | 2.65 | 8 | 18 |
| Jordan Weems | 30 | 36.1 | 40 | 2.48 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 24 | 26.1 | 24 | 6.49 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 18 | 16.2 | 9 | 3.78 | 4 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 17 | 20.2 | 20 | 5.66 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 26-11 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Boston has gone 26-9 in its 35 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 84 games this season, and is 51-33 in those contests.
- Boston has a 50-10 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 14-10 over the 24 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 19-10 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
- In 80 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-37.
- Washington has won 38 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 14-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-170)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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