The Cincinnati Reds (62-58) and Cleveland Guardians (57-62) square off in the first of a two-game series on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Reds are coming off a series victory over the Pirates, and the Guardians a series loss to the Rays.
The Reds are favored (-114) in a projected evenly matched game against the Guardians (-105). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of August 15, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -114 | -105 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won 19, or 59.4%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Cincinnati has won 15 of its 27 games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of its 120 games with a total this season.
- The Reds are 71-49-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (41.1%) in those contests.
- Cleveland has a mark of 20-31 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians are 62-57-0 against the spread in their 119 games that had a posted line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- When Ashcraft starts, his team is 13-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Ashcraft has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 22 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Ashcraft’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Ashcraft’s team is 10-12 when he starts this season.
- Out of Ashcraft’s 22 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 53 | 57.1 | 51 | 3.3 | 17 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 52 | 52.2 | 73 | 2.39 | 1 | 33 |
| Buck Farmer | 52 | 55.1 | 51 | 4.07 | 10 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 51 | 43.2 | 40 | 3.09 | 12 | 1 |
| Sam Moll | 48 | 44.1 | 55 | 4.26 | 6 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen makes the start for the Guardians, his 18th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 88 strikeouts through 91 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, the left-hander tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Allen will try to continue a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
- In four of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Allen’s starts this season, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
- Allen’s team is 11-6 over his 17 starts.
- Allen has started 17 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 53 | 53.1 | 51 | 3.21 | 0 | 31 |
| Trevor Stephan | 52 | 51.1 | 56 | 2.98 | 19 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 52 | 49.1 | 42 | 2.92 | 12 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 44 | 47.2 | 52 | 3.4 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 43 | 44.1 | 49 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds are 31-10 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Cincinnati has put up five or more extra-base hits in 35 games this season, and has gone 27-8 in those contests.
- The club is 56-24 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Cincinnati has a 61-12 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds are 18-20 in the 38 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 17-5 in those matchups.
- Cleveland has gone 17-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 39-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 34-10.
- They have a 16-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-114)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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