The Minnesota Twins (62-58) and Detroit Tigers (53-65) clash in the first of a two-game series on Tuesday at Target Field, at 7:40 PM ET. The Twins are coming off a series split with the Phillies, and the Tigers a series loss to the Red Sox.
The Tigers (+159 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Twins (-191). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 15, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -191 | +159 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 47, or 59.5%, of the 79 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota is 9-5 this season when entering a game favored by -191 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.6% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 120 chances this season.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 55-65-0 in 120 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 3.98 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have come away with 42 wins in the 99 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Detroit has a mark of 15-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +159 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 119 opportunities.
- The Tigers are 63-56-0 against the spread in their 119 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober’s team is 8-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed 11 hits in five innings against the Detroit Tigers.
- Ober has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Ober’s team has been victorious in 53.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-6.
- Ober’s team has an 11-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Ober have a 6-13-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 51 | 48.2 | 46 | 2.77 | 17 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 46 | 50.2 | 48 | 3.20 | 5 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 45 | 44 | 44 | 4.50 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 43 | 45.2 | 61 | 2.76 | 1 | 21 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 17 | 15.2 | 18 | 1.72 | 8 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Alex Faedo
- Faedo gets the start for the Tigers, his ninth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 5.80 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 40 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Faedo enters this game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Tigers have a 3-5 record in Faedo’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Faedo’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
- Faedo’s starts went over the run total five times in eight games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 50 | 51.2 | 46 | 2.09 | 19 | 5 |
| José Cisnero | 47 | 45 | 54 | 3.80 | 13 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 46 | 46 | 60 | 3.91 | 3 | 17 |
| Tyler Holton | 39 | 59.2 | 53 | 1.81 | 7 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 32 | 41.2 | 38 | 2.16 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up two or more dingers in 60 games this season, and are 47-13 in those outings.
- Minnesota has gone 33-7 in its 40 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 70 times this season, and has a 53-17 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 56-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 25-13 in the 38 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
- They have won 50 of the 71 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Detroit has won 41 of its 54 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-11
Twins vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-191)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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