The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-65) take on the New York Mets (53-65), a game after Bryan Reynolds went deep twice in a 6-5 defeat to the Reds, at 7:10 PM ET on Monday.
The Mets are favored at home (-137) against the Pirates (+115). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of August 14, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -137 | +115 | 9.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 41, or 55.4%, of the 74 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York is 24-28 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 57.8% chance to win.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 119 games with a total this season.
- The Mets are 46-73-0 against the spread in their 119 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.72 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 93 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (41.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 34 times in 70 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 63 of its 118 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 58-60-0 against the spread in their 118 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco and his team have a record of 7-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday.
- Carrasco will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 17 chances this season.
- Carrasco’s team has a record of 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Carrasco has started, his team is 6-11.
- In Carrasco’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 51 | 47 | 42 | 3.45 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 48 | 40.1 | 45 | 2.68 | 20 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 39.1 | 45 | 4.35 | 10 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 44 | 42 | 45 | 4.07 | 8 | 0 |
| Phil Bickford | 42 | 48 | 57 | 6.00 | 3 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- Priester makes the start for the Pirates, his sixth of the season. He is 2-1 with an 8.75 ERA and 20 strikeouts over 23 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw four innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Priester heads into this matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has not made an outing so far in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Pirates have a 3-2 record in Priester’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Priester’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
- Priester has started five games with a total this season — his team has hit the over in each of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 46 | 48.2 | 59 | 2.03 | 0 | 24 |
| Colin Holderman | 42 | 41 | 46 | 3.29 | 18 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 35 | 36.2 | 45 | 3.93 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 28 | 28 | 42 | 3.21 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 19 | 21.1 | 21 | 3.38 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit at least two round-trippers in 38 games this season, and are 21-17 in those outings.
- New York has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 17 games this season, and has gone 12-5 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 64 games this season, and is 41-23 in those contests.
- New York is 40-18 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets have gone 15-13 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 23-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-5.
- They have a record of 37-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 33 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 16 of their 34 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-137)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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