The San Diego Padres (56-62) host the Baltimore Orioles (73-45) to start a three-game series at PETCO Park, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET on Monday. The Padres are on the back of a series defeat to the Diamondbacks, and the Orioles a series win over the Mariners.
The Orioles are road underdogs (+120) versus the Padres (-143). The contest has a set total of 8.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of August 14, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -143 | +120 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 89 times this season and won 47, or 52.8%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 37-27 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 47 of 118 chances this season.
- In 118 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 56-62-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with 37 wins in the 66 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 14-11 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 59 of 118 chances this season.
- In 118 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 74-44-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- When Darvish starts, his team is 9-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up no earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Darvish will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- In 21 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Darvish’s team has a record of 7-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Darvish has started, his team is 9-12.
- Games Darvish has started this season hit the over 10 times in 21 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 46 | 48.2 | 51 | 3.33 | 21 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 44 | 41.2 | 63 | 0.86 | 0 | 26 |
| Nick Martínez | 43 | 85 | 77 | 3.71 | 14 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 42 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.87 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 41 | 44.1 | 52 | 6.09 | 1 | 13 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez
- The Orioles will send Rodriguez (2-3) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 80 strikeouts over 74 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, the right-hander threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Rodriguez is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- In three of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Orioles have a 5-5 record in Rodriguez’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Rodriguez’s team has compiled a 9-6 record in his 15 starts.
- Rodriguez’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 15 contests.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 52 | 58.1 | 55 | 3.7 | 6 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 52 | 56.2 | 52 | 1.75 | 27 | 4 |
| Felix Bautista | 49 | 56.1 | 108 | 1.6 | 0 | 31 |
| Cionel Pérez | 44 | 40.2 | 33 | 3.98 | 9 | 1 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 36 | 59.2 | 63 | 7.99 | 4 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 29-22 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- San Diego has gone 22-8 in its 30 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 45-21 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- San Diego has a 47-9 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres are 27-21 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 44 games this season and are 32-12 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has gone 29-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 51 of the 73 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-10.
- They have won 23 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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