The Atlanta Braves (75-42) will look to Sean Murphy, on a two-game homer streak, against the New York Yankees (60-58) at 7:20 PM ET on Monday, at Truist Park.
The Yankees are an underdog (+161 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Braves (-195). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of August 14, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -195 | +161 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 67, or 64.4%, of the 104 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Atlanta has won 29 of its 40 games, or 72.5%, when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 66.1%.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 117 chances this season.
- The Braves are 60-57-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.5 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.87 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 18, or 41.9%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has played as an underdog of +161 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 38.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 118 opportunities.
- In 118 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 59-59-0 against the spread.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up four earned runs in four innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- In six starts, Fried has pitched through or past the fifth inning five times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in seven chances this season.
- Fried’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- Fried’s team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Fried have a 2-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 50 | 47 | 58 | 4.40 | 12 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 50 | 46.1 | 69 | 5.05 | 5 | 13 |
| Brad Hand | 45 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 43 | 45 | 58 | 3.00 | 6 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt (8-6 with a 4.23 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 24th of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Schmidt will look to prolong a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 innings per appearance).
- He has made five appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Yankees have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Schmidt’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Over Schmidt’s 23 starts, his team is 11-12.
- Schmidt’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 23 games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 49 | 44.1 | 39 | 3.25 | 14 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 46 | 45 | 55 | 2.40 | 5 | 16 |
| Keynan Middleton | 43 | 43 | 54 | 3.56 | 5 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 38 | 48 | 52 | 4.69 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 37 | 61.1 | 74 | 3.08 | 8 | 6 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 47-17 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
- Atlanta is 31-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 82 times this season, and has a 57-25 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 61-15 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 23-12 in the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They have won 48 of the 64 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-2.
- They have a record of 48-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 45-14.
- They have won 21 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-195)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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