Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 13, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (63-53) host the Baltimore Orioles (72-45) at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Mariners are projected as a close favorite (-113 to win on the moneyline) against the Orioles (-107). The game’s over/under is 8.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of August 13, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -113 -107 8

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 77 times this season and won 44, or 57.1%, of those games.
  • Seattle is 42-31 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 53.1% chance to win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 116 chances.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 57-59-0 in 116 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 14
ERA 2.54
K/9 10

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with 36 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Baltimore has won 33 of 57 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 59 of its 117 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Orioles have an against the spread record of 73-44-0 in 117 games with a line this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.1

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller

  • When Miller starts, his team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Miller has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • In 16 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Miller’s team is 8-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Miller’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts.
  • Out of Miller’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 56 49.2 82 3.08 16 2
Justin Topa 49 44.1 39 2.44 17 2
Gabe Speier 47 38 40 3.55 11 0
Tayler Saucedo 35 35.2 37 2.02 2 0
Andres Munoz 31 29.2 43 2.73 12 6

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish (7-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his 22nd of the season.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Sunday, Aug. 6 against the New York Mets, when he tossed 4 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • Bradish is looking to secure his 17th start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in six of his 21 appearances this season.
  • The Orioles have a 5-6 record in Bradish’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bradish’s team is 13-8 in his 21 starts.
  • Bradish has started 21 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 51 57.2 55 3.59 6 0
Yeinier Cano 51 55.2 51 1.78 27 4
Felix Bautista 49 56.1 108 1.6 0 31
Cionel Pérez 43 39.2 31 4.08 9 1
Shintaro Fujinami 35 58.2 62 8.13 4 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners are 31-10 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • Seattle has had at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 18-1 in those outings.
  • The team is 49-23 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Seattle has a 53-7 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mariners are 27-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 32-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Baltimore has gone 29-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 50 of the 72 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 63 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-10.
  • In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-7

Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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