The San Diego Padres (56-61) and Arizona Diamondbacks (58-59) play a rubber match on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Diamondbacks are an underdog (+125 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Padres (-149). The over/under for the game is 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 13, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -149 | +125 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 88 times and won 47, or 53.4%, of those games.
- San Diego is 32-26 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 117 games with a total.
- In 117 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 56-61-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won in 27, or 42.2%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 12 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 49 of 117 chances this season.
- The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 63-54-0 in 117 games with a line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.93 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo
- Lugo’s team is 7-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up eight earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday.
- In 17 starts this season, Lugo has lasted five or more innings 14 times, with an average of 5.4 innings per appearance.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
- Lugo’s team has won 35.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-9).
- Lugo’s team has won six of his 17 starts.
- In games Lugo has started this season, the teams are 7-7-3 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 46 | 48.2 | 51 | 3.33 | 21 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 44 | 41.2 | 63 | 0.86 | 0 | 26 |
| Nick Martínez | 42 | 83.2 | 75 | 3.55 | 14 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 42 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.87 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 41 | 44.1 | 52 | 6.09 | 1 | 13 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- Pfaadt (0-6 with a 7.16 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 49 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 11th of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Pfaadt will try to secure his seventh outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.9 innings per appearance.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered at least one earned run in all of his outings.
- The Diamondbacks are 4-3 in Pfaadt’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Pfaadt’s team has won four of his 10 starts.
- Pfaadt has started 10 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 50 | 47.2 | 38 | 3.97 | 10 | 7 |
| Scott McGough | 50 | 56.1 | 69 | 4.63 | 13 | 9 |
| Paul Sewald | 48 | 45 | 64 | 3.4 | 0 | 22 |
| Kyle Nelson | 46 | 41.2 | 53 | 3.24 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 41 | 46 | 43 | 1.96 | 2 | 3 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 29-22 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- San Diego is 22-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 65 times this season, and has a 45-20 record in those games.
- San Diego has a 47-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres have gone 27-20 over the 47 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They have won 25 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Arizona has gone 19-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 83 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-29.
- In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 51-17.
- In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-22
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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