The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-64) host the Cincinnati Reds (61-57) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Pirates are the home favorite (-135) versus the Reds (+113). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of August 13, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -135 | +113 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won 13, or 56.5%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Pittsburgh has won seven of its 13 games, or 53.8%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 57.4% chance to win.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 116 chances.
- The Pirates are 56-60-0 against the spread in their 116 chances this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.97 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 42 wins in the 86 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 28-35 when favored by +113 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 60 of its 118 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds have posted a record of 71-47-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 6.85 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- When Keller starts, his team is 13-11-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in five innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Keller has 23 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 24 chances this season.
- Keller’s team is 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Keller’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts this season.
- Out of Keller’s 24 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 45 | 47.2 | 57 | 2.08 | 0 | 23 |
| Colin Holderman | 41 | 40 | 44 | 3.38 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 34 | 36 | 43 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 27 | 27 | 41 | 3.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson (4-2) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.54 ERA in 75 1/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.
- His most recent time out came on Monday against the Miami Marlins, when the lefty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Williamson will look to collect his 11th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- In one of his 15 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Reds are 8-5 in Williamson’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williamson’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts.
- Williamson has started 15 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 52 | 56.1 | 50 | 3.20 | 17 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 51 | 55 | 50 | 4.09 | 10 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 51 | 51 | 72 | 2.47 | 1 | 33 |
| Alex Young | 50 | 42.2 | 40 | 2.74 | 12 | 1 |
| Sam Moll | 47 | 43.1 | 54 | 4.36 | 6 | 1 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have put up at least two round-trippers in 31 games this season, and are 23-8 in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has gone 19-4 in its 23 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 54 times this season, and has a 37-17 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 33-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates have drawn five or more walks in 32 games this season, and are 15-17 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 31-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has gone 26-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 55 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has won 60 of its 72 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 18 of their 38 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Pirates vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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