The New York Mets (52-65) carry a four-game losing streak into a matchup versus the Atlanta Braves (75-41), at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday.
As the favorite, the Braves (-142 on the moneyline to win) take the field at the Mets (+120). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of August 13, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -142 | +120 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 67, or 65%, of the 103 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 57-25 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of 116 opportunities.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 60-56-0 in 116 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.7 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (25%) in those games.
- New York has won all of its 14 games in which it was named as at least a +120 moneyline underdog.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 49 of its 118 opportunities.
- The Mets are 45-73-0 against the spread in their 118 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 7.01 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Yonny Chirinos
- Chirinos’ team is 5-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Chirinos has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- When Chirinos starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-1.
- Chirinos’ team has won five of his seven starts this season.
- In Chirinos’ seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 50 | 47 | 58 | 4.40 | 12 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 50 | 46.1 | 69 | 5.05 | 5 | 13 |
| Brad Hand | 45 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 42 | 44 | 57 | 3.07 | 6 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga makes the start for the Mets, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-6 with a 3.24 ERA and 142 strikeouts in 116 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Monday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Senga will try to build upon a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
- In three of his 21 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Senga starts this season — they lost both.
- Senga’s team has won 12 of his 21 starts.
- Senga has started 21 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 50 | 46 | 42 | 3.52 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 47 | 40 | 45 | 2.48 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 44 | 42 | 45 | 4.07 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 43 | 39 | 45 | 4.38 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 42 | 48 | 57 | 6.00 | 3 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 47-16 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Atlanta has gone 31-3 in its 34 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 82 times this season, and has a 57-25 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 61-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 23-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 21-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won 12 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 63 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-23.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-18.
- They have a 15-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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