Joey Gallo leads the Minnesota Twins (61-58) into a contest versus the Philadelphia Phillies (65-53), a game after homering twice in an 8-1 victory over the Phillies, at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Phillies (-121 moneyline odds) host the Twins (+102). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 13, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -121 | +102 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 46 out of the 77 games, or 59.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia is 39-22 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 118 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 53-65-0 in 118 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won in 14, or 35.9%, of the 39 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Minnesota has won 13 of 29 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of its 119 opportunities.
- The Twins are 54-65-0 against the spread in their 119 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- When Suarez starts, his team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
- Suarez has 14 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 16 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Suarez’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-4).
- Suarez’s team has a 9-7 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Suarez’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 52 | 50 | 69 | 3.24 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 50 | 44.2 | 44 | 4.84 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 39 | 32.2 | 34 | 4.13 | 12 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 36 | 35 | 33 | 5.14 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 32 | 34.1 | 47 | 2.88 | 4 | 1 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray (5-5 with a 3.11 ERA and 133 strikeouts in 130 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his 24th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, the right-hander went six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Gray will look to go five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
- He has had four appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Twins have been the moneyline underdog in six of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those games.
- Gray’s team is 10-13 in his 23 starts.
- Gray has had 23 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and nine of those games finished over the total.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 50 | 48.1 | 46 | 2.79 | 16 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 45 | 50 | 46 | 3.24 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 45 | 44 | 44 | 4.50 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 42 | 44.2 | 61 | 2.82 | 1 | 20 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 16 | 14.2 | 16 | 1.84 | 7 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 29-8 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has gone 24-8 in its 32 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 79 games this season, and is 50-29 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 46-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 28-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They have won 47 of the 60 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Minnesota has gone 33-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 69 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 52-17.
- In 66 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 56-10.
- They have a 25-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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