Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Boston Red Sox (61-56) and Detroit Tigers (53-64) play a rubber match on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Tigers are an underdog (+111 on the moneyline) when they take on the Red Sox (-132). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 13, 2023 at 11:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Red Sox -132 +111 9.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have won 31 out of the 57 games, or 54.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season Boston has won 17 of its 31 games, or 54.8%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 117 games with a total this season.
  • The Red Sox have an ATS record of 60-57-0 in 117 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 10
ERA 5.36
K/9 9.0

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 42 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a mark of 35-47 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 118 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 63-55-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 3.84
K/9 8.9

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford

  • Crawford’s team is 7-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • Crawford has made eight starts of five or more innings in 14 chances this season, and averages 3.9 frames when he pitches.
  • In 22 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
  • Crawford’s team has won 20% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-4).
  • Crawford’s team has a 6-8 record in his starts this season.
  • In Crawford’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Winckowski 41 63 57 2.86 15 2
Chris Martin 41 38.1 34 1.41 19 1
Kenley Jansen 40 38.1 47 3.05 0 26
Brennan Bernardino 28 38.2 45 2.79 3 0
John Schreiber 24 25.1 29 3.20 10 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez (8-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 101 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Tigers, his 18th of the season.
  • The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • Rodriguez will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing.
  • He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Tigers have a 6-4 record in Rodríguez’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Rodríguez’s team has won nine of his 17 starts.
  • Rodríguez’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 17 contests.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 50 51.2 46 2.09 19 5
José Cisnero 46 44 54 3.89 13 2
Alex Lange 45 45 59 4.00 3 17
Tyler Holton 39 59.2 53 1.81 7 1
Andrew Vasquez 32 41.2 38 2.16 0 0

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox are 25-11 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
  • Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 25-9 in those outings.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 83 times this season, and has a 50-33 record in those games.
  • Boston has a 49-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Red Sox are 14-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 20 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has won 17 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 50 of the 71 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has a 41-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 17-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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