The New York Yankees (60-57) and Miami Marlins (61-57) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Yankees are favored (-123 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Marlins (+103). The total for this game is set at 7.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of August 13, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -123 | +103 | 7 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 42 (56.8%) of those contests.
- New York is 35-22 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of 117 games with a total.
- The Yankees are 59-58-0 against the spread in their 117 chances this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 26 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won 17 of 45 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 53 of 118 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 52-66-0 against the spread in their 118 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- Cole and his team are 13-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- In 24 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Cole’s team has a record of 16-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Cole’s team has won 16 of his 24 starts.
- Out of Cole’s 24 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 48 | 43 | 37 | 3.14 | 14 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 45 | 44.2 | 54 | 1.61 | 5 | 16 |
| Keynan Middleton | 42 | 42.1 | 53 | 3.61 | 5 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 38 | 48 | 52 | 4.69 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 37 | 61.1 | 74 | 3.08 | 8 | 6 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- The Marlins will send Perez (5-4) to the mound for his 13th start of the season. He is 5-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 68 strikeouts over 58 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Monday, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Perez enters this game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have a 2-2 record in Perez’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Perez’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
- Perez has started 12 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 49 | 54.2 | 80 | 2.80 | 22 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 45 | 49 | 54 | 2.57 | 7 | 18 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 44 | 54 | 57 | 4.00 | 13 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 42 | 43 | 57 | 3.14 | 10 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 41 | 39.2 | 53 | 2.95 | 8 | 2 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have racked up two or more long balls in 63 games this season, and are 48-15 in those outings.
- New York has gone 13-2 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 72 times this season, and has a 48-24 record in those games.
- New York is 45-13 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 21-14 in the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 15-21 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 19-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 50-39 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-12.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-12
Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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