Blue Jays vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays hope to end their three-game losing run versus the Chicago Cubs (61-56), on Sunday at 1:37 PM ET.

The Cubs are an underdog (+100 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Blue Jays (-119). The game’s total is set at 9.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 13, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -119 +100 9

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 47 out of the 86 games, or 54.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season Toronto has won 40 of its 74 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 119 games with a total this season.
  • In 119 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 55-64-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 2.86
K/9 7.8

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 21-25 when favored by +100 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 61 of 117 chances this season.
  • The Cubs are 59-58-0 against the spread in their 117 games that had a posted line this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 5.01
K/9 9.1

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu

  • Ryu has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, throwing four innings without allowing a run or hit.
  • Ryu’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Ryu’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Ryu this season, the teams hit the over once.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 54 41.2 40 1.08 19 1
Yimi Garcia 53 49.1 57 4.20 13 3
Erik Swanson 53 53.1 61 3.38 27 4
Jordan Hicks 45 47.1 62 3.80 7 11
Génesis Cabrera 40 42.1 47 4.46 7 0

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

  • The Cubs are sending Taillon (7-6) out to make his 21st start of the season. He is 7-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 101 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Taillon will try to go five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Taillon’s starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
  • Taillon’s team has an 8-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Taillon’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 20 contests.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 50 52.1 69 3.44 12 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 49 50.1 65 2.86 21 3
Michael Fulmer 48 52.1 58 4.13 10 1
Jose Cuas 47 47.1 57 3.99 5 0
Adbert Alzolay 44 52.2 58 2.39 7 16

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 26-12 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
  • Toronto has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 18-5 in those outings.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 90 times this season, and has a 58-32 record in those games.
  • Toronto is 46-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 20-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They are 30-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has gone 20-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 55 of the 77 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 62 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 48-14.
  • They have a 24-16 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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