Rays vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (71-48) hope to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Cleveland Guardians (56-62), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The favored Rays (-181 moneyline odds) play at home against the Guardians (+152). The total for this game is 7.5.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 13, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -181 +152 7.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 64 out of the 99 games, or 64.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 31-10 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -181 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.4% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 61 of 119 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 63-56-0 ATS in their 119 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 7.6

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been victorious in 22, or 40%, of the 55 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cleveland has been a moneyline underdog of -181 or longer five times, losing every contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 39.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 118 opportunities.
  • In 118 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 61-57-0 against the spread.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 3
ERA 3.52
K/9 9.7

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin and his team are 11-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Eflin has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
  • Eflin’s team has a record of 16-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Eflin’s team has a 16-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Eflin’s 22 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 47 47 58 2.87 10 10
Jake Diekman 46 38.1 44 4.23 7 0
Colin Poche 45 42.1 35 2.34 14 1
Kevin Kelly 44 51.2 43 3.48 9 2
Robert Stephenson 42 36.2 50 4.17 8 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee

  • Bibee gets the start for the Guardians, his 19th of the season. He is 8-2 with a 2.92 ERA and 101 strikeouts over 101 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the right-hander tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up six hits.
  • Bibee will look to go five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
  • In three of his 18 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Guardians have a 4-7 record in Bibee’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Bibee’s team has a 10-8 record in his 18 starts.
  • Bibee’s starts went over the run total seven times in 18 games with a set total this season.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 53 53.1 51 3.21 0 31
Trevor Stephan 52 51.1 56 2.98 19 2
Enyel De Los Santos 52 49.1 42 2.92 12 0
Eli Morgan 44 47.2 52 3.40 8 1
Nick Sandlin 43 44.1 49 3.86 7 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 39-14 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Tampa Bay is 28-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 79 games this season, and is 53-26 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has a 52-18 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those contests.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They have won 16 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Cleveland has won 16 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 38-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-10.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-12

Rays vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-181)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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