The Atlanta Braves (74-41) will look for Ozzie Albies to continue an 11-game hitting streak versus the New York Mets (52-64) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at .
The Braves are away from home and heavy favorites (-240) against the Mets (+199). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 12, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -240 | +199 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 102 games this season and won 66 (64.7%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 15-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -240 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 70.6%.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of its 115 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 59-56-0 against the spread in their 115 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 8.3 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 11, or 25.6%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +199.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 33.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 117 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets are 45-72-0 against the spread in their 117 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.99 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 13-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed five hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday.
- Strider has started 23 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 21 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 18-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Strider has started, his team is 18-5.
- Games started by Strider have a 15-8-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 50 | 46.1 | 69 | 5.05 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 49 | 46 | 57 | 4.50 | 12 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 45 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 42 | 44 | 57 | 3.07 | 6 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Quintana
- Quintana makes the start for the Mets, his fifth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 3.42 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the left-hander tossed six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Quintana will try to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
- The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Quintana starts this season — they lost both.
- Quintana’s four starts have all ended in a loss for his team this season.
- Quintana has started four contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 50 | 46 | 42 | 3.52 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 47 | 40 | 45 | 2.48 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 43 | 41 | 44 | 4.17 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 42 | 38.2 | 45 | 3.96 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 41 | 46.1 | 56 | 5.83 | 3 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 47-16 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Atlanta is 31-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 82 games this season, and is 57-25 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 60-14 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 22-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 21-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-5.
- They have won 40 of the 63 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-18.
- They have won 15 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-240)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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