Rays vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (70-48) host the Cleveland Guardians (56-61) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Rays are favored at home (-157) against the Guardians (+132). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 12, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -157 +132 8

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 63 out of the 98 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay is 44-15 this season when entering a game favored by -157 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 60 of 118 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 63-55-0 against the spread in their 118 chances this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 17
ERA 4.09
K/9 8.0

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won in 22, or 40.7%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Cleveland has a win-loss record of 1-12 when favored by +132 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 43.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 49 of its 117 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Guardians have posted a record of 60-57-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 3
ERA 3.10
K/9 9.2

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Rays or Guardians, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Rays Probable Pitcher – Shawn Armstrong

  • When Armstrong starts, his team is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Wednesday, when he threw two scoreless innings without allowing a hit to the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Armstrong’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • Armstrong’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
  • The teams have gone under the point total set by bookmakers in each of the three games Armstrong has started this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 47 47 58 2.87 10 10
Jake Diekman 46 38.1 44 4.23 7 0
Colin Poche 45 42.1 35 2.34 14 1
Kevin Kelly 43 51 42 3.53 9 2
Robert Stephenson 42 36.2 50 4.17 8 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams

  • The Guardians will send Williams (1-3) to make his 10th start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 2.90 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 49 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Monday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up only one hit.
  • Williams is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
  • He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Guardians have a 1-4 record in Williams’ five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Williams’ nine starts, his team is 5-4.
  • Williams has started nine games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 52 52.2 50 2.73 0 31
Trevor Stephan 51 50.1 53 2.86 18 2
Enyel De Los Santos 51 48.1 42 2.98 11 0
Nick Sandlin 43 44.1 49 3.86 7 0
Eli Morgan 43 46.2 51 3.28 7 1

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have hit two or more homers in 53 games this season, and are 39-14 in those outings.
  • Tampa Bay has put up five or more extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those outings.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits in 78 games this season, and is 52-26 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay is 51-18 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rays are 22-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 16-5 in those matchups.
  • Cleveland has gone 16-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 70 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-32.
  • Cleveland has won 33 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 16-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-157)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy