Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Boston Red Sox (61-55) carry a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Detroit Tigers (52-64) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Red Sox are the home favorite (-200) against the Tigers (+167). The contest has an over/under of 10.

The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of August 12, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Red Sox -200 +167 10

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 31, or 55.4%, of those games.
  • Boston has entered nine games this season favored by -200 or more and is 6-3 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 66.7% chance to win.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 116 games with a total this season.
  • The Red Sox are 60-56-0 against the spread in their 116 chances this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 11
ERA 5.16
K/9 9.0

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been victorious in 41, or 42.3%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Detroit has won 13 of 25 games when listed as at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 60 of its 117 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Tigers have an against the spread mark of 62-55-0 in 117 games with a line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 10
ERA 4.19
K/9 9.6

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello

  • Bello’s team is 13-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals.
  • Bello has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • Bello’s team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-4.
  • Bello’s team is 13-6 when he starts this season.
  • Games Bello has started this season hit the over nine times in 19 chances.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Martin 41 38.1 34 1.41 19 1
Josh Winckowski 41 63 57 2.86 15 2
Kenley Jansen 40 38.1 47 3.05 0 26
Brennan Bernardino 27 38 44 2.61 3 0
John Schreiber 23 24.1 26 3.33 10 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matt Manning

  • Manning gets the start for the Tigers, his 11th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 5.06 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Manning is seeking his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per start.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Manning’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those matchups.
  • Manning’s team has won four of his 10 starts.
  • Manning’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 10 games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
José Cisnero 46 44 54 3.89 13 2
Alex Lange 45 45 59 4.00 3 17
Tyler Holton 38 59 53 1.83 7 1
Andrew Vasquez 32 41.2 38 2.16 0 0
Will Vest 24 30.1 32 2.67 5 0

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 25-11 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Boston has gone 25-9 in its 34 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 50-32 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Boston has a 49-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Red Sox are 14-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 19 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has won 16 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 49 of the 70 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won 40 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-11

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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