The Atlanta Braves (73-41) are looking for Ozzie Albies to continue a 10-game hitting streak against the New York Mets (52-63) on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET, at Citi Field.
The Mets play as a big home underdog (+193) versus the Braves (-234). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of August 12, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -234 | +193 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 101 times and won 65, or 64.4%, of those games.
- Atlanta is 17-7 this season when entering a game favored by -234 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of 114 opportunities.
- The Braves are 58-56-0 against the spread in their 114 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (26.2%) in those contests.
- New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +193.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 34.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 48 of its 116 opportunities.
- In 116 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 45-71-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.29 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Allan Winans
- Winans and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 22, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up two earned runs.
- Winans’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Winans’ team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Winans with a total this season hit the under.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 50 | 46.1 | 69 | 5.05 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 49 | 46 | 57 | 4.50 | 12 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 45 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 42 | 44 | 57 | 3.07 | 6 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Denyi Reyes
- Reyes makes his first start of the season for the Mets.
- The 26-year-old right-hander makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
- Reyes and his team were moneyline underdogs each game he pitched a season ago.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 50 | 46 | 42 | 3.52 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 47 | 40 | 45 | 2.48 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 43 | 41 | 44 | 4.17 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 42 | 38.2 | 45 | 3.96 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 41 | 46.1 | 56 | 5.83 | 3 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 46-16 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 33 games this season, and has gone 30-3 in those outings.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 81 games this season, and is 56-25 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 59-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves have gone 21-12 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 21-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has gone 12-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 40-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won 39 of its 57 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-12
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-234)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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