Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (63-52) are looking for continued production from a hitter on a hot streak against the Baltimore Orioles (71-45) on Saturday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park. Cal Raleigh is on a two-game homer streak.

The Orioles (+135 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Mariners (-162). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 12, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -162 +135 8

Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have been favored 76 times and won 44, or 57.9%, of those games.
  • This season Seattle has won 15 of its 25 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 61.8% chance to win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 115 chances.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 57-58-0 in 115 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 16
ERA 2.77
K/9 10.2

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 35, or 54.7%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has come away with a win seven times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 59 of its 116 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Orioles have posted a record of 72-44-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 11
ERA 3.99
K/9 9.2

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby and his team have a record of 11-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Sunday, Aug. 6 in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Kirby has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
  • Kirby’s team is 11-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Kirby has started, his team is 13-9.
  • Games started by Kirby have a 10-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 56 49.2 82 3.08 16 2
Justin Topa 49 44.1 39 2.44 17 2
Gabe Speier 47 38 40 3.55 11 0
Tayler Saucedo 35 35.2 37 2.02 2 0
Andres Munoz 30 28.2 42 2.83 12 6

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Cole Irvin

  • Irvin (1-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 48 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his ninth of the season.
  • The lefty last appeared in relief on Sunday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the New York Mets without surrendering a hit.
  • Irvin will try to collect his fourth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages three innings per appearance.
  • He will try for his fourth straight outing without allowing an earned run.
  • The Orioles have a 2-3 record in Irvin’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Irvin’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Irvin has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 50 56.2 55 3.65 6 0
Yeinier Cano 50 54.2 51 1.81 27 4
Felix Bautista 48 54.1 104 1.66 0 31
Cionel Pérez 42 39.1 31 4.12 9 1
Shintaro Fujinami 35 58.2 62 8.13 4 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners are 31-10 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
  • Seattle has gone 18-1 in its 19 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits in 72 games this season, and is 49-23 in those contests.
  • Seattle is 53-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 39 games this season, and are 27-12 in those contests.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They have won 32 of the 44 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Baltimore has gone 29-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 72 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 50-22.
  • In 63 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-10.
  • They have a 23-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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