The Philadelphia Phillies (65-52) aim to prolong their four-game winning streak when they play the Minnesota Twins (60-58) on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are an underdog (+103 on the moneyline) when they host the Twins (-123). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 12, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -123 | +103 | 9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 46, or 59%, of the 78 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has a record of 42-28 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.2% chance to win.
- Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 118 chances.
- The Twins are 53-65-0 against the spread in their 118 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.98 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been victorious in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win 13 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 117 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 117 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 53-64-0 against the spread.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team have a record of 9-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers.
- Lopez has pitched five or more innings in 14 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
- Lopez’s team has been victorious in 70.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-5.
- Lopez’s team has won 13 of his 23 starts.
- Games started by Lopez have a 12-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 49 | 47.1 | 46 | 2.66 | 16 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 45 | 50 | 46 | 3.24 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 45 | 44 | 44 | 4.50 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 42 | 44.2 | 61 | 2.82 | 1 | 20 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 15 | 13.2 | 15 | 1.98 | 7 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker (13-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 126 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Phillies, his 24th of the season.
- In his last time out on Sunday, the righty tossed seven innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Walker is trying for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 23 appearances this season.
- The Phillies are 5-3 in Walker’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Walker’s team has won 17 of his 23 starts.
- Walker has had 23 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 52 | 50 | 69 | 3.24 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 49 | 44.1 | 43 | 4.06 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 39 | 32.2 | 34 | 4.13 | 12 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 35 | 33.1 | 32 | 5.13 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 31 | 33.1 | 45 | 2.97 | 4 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 46-13 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Minnesota has gone 32-7 in its 39 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 68 times this season, and has a 51-17 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 55-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 24-13 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They are 29-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Philadelphia has gone 24-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 50 of the 78 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Philadelphia has won 46 of its 55 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 40 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 28-12
Twins vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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