The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-64) and Cincinnati Reds (61-57) clash on Saturday at 7:05 PM ET.
Oddsmakers project the Pirates as a small favorite (-115 moneyline odds) against the Reds (-105). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of August 12, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -115 | -105 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been favorites in 23 games this season and won 13 (56.5%) of those contests.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 12-8, a 60% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of 116 games with a total.
- The Pirates are 56-60-0 ATS in their 116 games with a spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.97 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 86 games this year and have walked away with the win 42 times (48.8%) in those games.
- This year, Cincinnati has won 38 of 81 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 60 of its 118 opportunities.
- The Reds are 71-47-0 against the spread in their 118 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 6.85 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Andre Jackson
- The 27-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen nine times already this season, but will make his first start.
- Jackson did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 45 | 47.2 | 57 | 2.08 | 0 | 23 |
| Colin Holderman | 41 | 40 | 44 | 3.38 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 34 | 36 | 43 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 27 | 27 | 41 | 3.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 20 | 23.2 | 21 | 2.28 | 3 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson gets the start for the Reds, his 16th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.54 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 75 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Monday, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Williamson will try to record his 11th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 15 appearances this season.
- The Reds are 8-5 in Williamson’s 13 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williamson’s team has a 10-5 record over his 15 starts.
- Williamson has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and seven of those games hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 52 | 56.1 | 50 | 3.20 | 17 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 51 | 55 | 50 | 4.09 | 10 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 51 | 51 | 72 | 2.47 | 1 | 33 |
| Alex Young | 50 | 42.2 | 40 | 2.74 | 12 | 1 |
| Sam Moll | 47 | 43.1 | 54 | 4.36 | 6 | 1 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have put up at least two home runs in 31 games this season, and are 23-8 in those outings.
- Pittsburgh is 19-4 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 54 times this season, and has a 37-17 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 33-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Pirates have gone 15-17 in the 32 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 31-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-8.
- They have won 55 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 72 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 60-12.
- They have a 18-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Pirates vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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