Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 12, 2023

Gleyber Torres rides a 10-game hitting streak into the New York Yankees’ (60-56) game against the Miami Marlins (60-57), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, at LoanDepot park.

The Marlins are favored (-160 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Yankees (+133). The total for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of August 12, 2023 at 3:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Marlins -160 +133 7.5

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 34 (58.6%) of those contests.
  • Miami has a record of 15-4, a 78.9% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 61.5% chance to win.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 117 chances.
  • In 117 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 51-66-0 ATS.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 14
ERA 5.26
K/9 10.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won in 18, or 42.9%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 52 of 116 chances this season.
  • The Yankees are 59-57-0 against the spread in their 116 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 15
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.7

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara and his team are 6-17-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Sunday.
  • Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in 20 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
  • Alcantara’s team is 5-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Alcantara’s team has an 8-15 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Alcantara has started this season, the teams are 14-9-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 49 54.2 80 2.80 22 2
David Robertson 45 49 54 2.57 7 18
Huascar Brazoban 44 54 57 4.00 13 0
Steven Okert 42 43 57 3.14 10 0
Andrew Nardi 41 39.2 53 2.95 8 2

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Michael King

  • The Yankees are sending King (3-4) out to make his second start of the season.
  • His last time out came in relief on Wednesday when the righty threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox while allowing two hits.
  • He is trying to make his eighth straight appearance with no earned runs allowed.
  • The Yankees have always been the moneyline underdog when King starts this season.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • King’s only start with a total this season went over.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 48 43 37 3.14 14 4
Clay Holmes 45 44.2 54 1.61 5 16
Keynan Middleton 41 41.1 53 3.70 5 2
Albert Abreu 38 48 52 4.69 3 0
Michael King 37 59.1 71 2.88 8 6

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins are 15-21 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
  • Miami has gone 19-2 in its 21 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 88 games this season, and is 49-39 in those contests.
  • Miami is 41-12 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Marlins are 13-12 in the 25 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They are 48-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • New York has gone 13-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 48-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • New York has a 45-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 35 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-14

Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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