The Tampa Bay Rays (69-48) and Cleveland Guardians (56-60) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Tropicana Field, at 6:40 PM ET. The Rays are coming off a series defeat to the Cardinals, and the Guardians a series split with the Blue Jays.
The Guardians (+176 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Rays (-211). The over/under for this game is set at 8.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of August 11, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -211 | +176 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won 62, or 63.9%, of the 97 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Tampa Bay is 15-5 this season when entering a game favored by -211 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 67.8%.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of its 117 games with a total this season.
- The Rays have an ATS record of 63-54-0 in 117 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been victorious in 22, or 41.5%, of the 53 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Cleveland this season with a +176 moneyline set for this game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 36.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 48 of 116 chances this season.
- The Guardians have an against the spread mark of 59-57-0 in 116 games with a line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
| HR | 2 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale’s team is 8-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- In 14 starts, Civale has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 5.8 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- Civale’s team is 6-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Civale’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
- In Civale’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 46 | 46 | 57 | 2.74 | 10 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 45 | 37.1 | 44 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 44 | 41.1 | 34 | 2.40 | 13 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 43 | 51 | 42 | 3.53 | 9 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 41 | 36.1 | 49 | 4.21 | 8 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Xzavion Curry
- The Guardians will send Curry (3-1) to make his fifth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 45 strikeouts through 64 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Curry will look to collect his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 2.2 innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in 15 of his 29 appearances this season.
- The Guardians were named the moneyline underdog for one Curry start this season — they lost.
- Curry’s team has a 1-3 record in his starts this season.
- Curry has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 52 | 52.2 | 50 | 2.73 | 0 | 31 |
| Trevor Stephan | 51 | 50.1 | 53 | 2.86 | 18 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 51 | 48.1 | 42 | 2.98 | 11 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 43 | 46.2 | 51 | 3.28 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 42 | 44.1 | 49 | 3.65 | 7 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit at least two dingers in 52 games this season, and are 38-14 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those outings.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 78 games this season, and is 52-26 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 50-18 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 21-7 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-5.
- They have won 38 of the 69 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-11
Rays vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-211)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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