The Atlanta Braves (72-41) visit the New York Mets (52-62) in NL East play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Braves are a favorite (-185) against the Mets (+156). The over/under in the game is 9.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 11, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -185 | +156 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 100 games this season and won 64 (64%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 31-12 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 64.9% chance to win.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of 113 games with a total.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 57-56-0 in 113 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with 11 wins in the 41 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- New York has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +156 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 48 of its 115 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets have an against the spread mark of 45-70-0 in 115 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton’s team is 9-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Sunday.
- Morton has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
- Morton’s team is 10-11 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Morton’s team has an 11-11 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Morton’s 22 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 49 | 45.1 | 67 | 5.16 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 48 | 45 | 55 | 4.60 | 12 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 44 | 39.2 | 43 | 4.54 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 41 | 43 | 56 | 3.14 | 6 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill makes the start for the Mets, his 17th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 5.45 ERA and 61 strikeouts through 76 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Baltimore Orioles, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Megill is looking to collect his 10th start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those games.
- Megill’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
- Megill’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 16 games with a set total this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 50 | 46 | 42 | 3.52 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 47 | 40 | 45 | 2.48 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 43 | 41 | 44 | 4.17 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 42 | 38.2 | 45 | 3.96 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 41 | 46.1 | 56 | 5.83 | 3 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 46-16 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta is 30-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 80 games this season, and is 55-25 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 58-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 21-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 21 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-5.
- They have a record of 40-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-18.
- They have a 15-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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