The Philadelphia Phillies (63-52) will look for Nicholas Castellanos to extend a 10-game hitting streak against the Washington Nationals (50-65) on Thursday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are the home favorite (-252) against the Nationals (+210). The total for this game is 9.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 10, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -252 | +210 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 75 times this season and won 44, or 58.7%, of those games.
- This season Philadelphia has won four of its six games when favored by at least -252 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 71.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 115 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 51-64-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 45, or 42.1%, of the 107 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 5-11 when favored by +210 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 114 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 62-52-0 against the spread in their 114 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 8-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- In 23 starts this season, Nola has lasted five or more innings 21 times, with an average of 6.2 innings per appearance.
- He has made 23 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Nola’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-6).
- Nola’s team has an 11-12 record in his starts this season.
- In Nola’s 23 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 51 | 49 | 68 | 3.31 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 49 | 44.1 | 43 | 4.06 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 38 | 31.2 | 33 | 4.26 | 11 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 34 | 32.1 | 29 | 5.01 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 30 | 32.1 | 43 | 3.06 | 4 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, his 24th of the season. He is 7-11 with a 5.10 ERA and 89 strikeouts through 132 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Friday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Corbin will try to pitch five or more innings for his 23rd straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
- In one of his 23 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 21 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 10-11 in those matchups.
- Corbin’s team is 11-12 in his 23 starts.
- Corbin’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 23 games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 47 | 50 | 49 | 2.70 | 8 | 18 |
| Jordan Weems | 29 | 34.1 | 37 | 2.62 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 22 | 25 | 23 | 6.48 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 15 | 13.1 | 9 | 4.73 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 15 | 17 | 14 | 4.76 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 26-8 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Philadelphia has gone 21-8 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 76 games this season, and is 48-28 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 43-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 18-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
- They have a record of 40-36 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 48 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-12.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-10
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-252)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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